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The report runs in five parts, each readable on its own, with a free source appendix for anyone who wants to check the work.

DEEP DIVE (five parts, for paying members) PDF edition: included with paid membership

Part 1 of 5

What is the situation?

350 to 400 million smartphones in the EU, fewer than a million European-made. The installed base, the market forces, and the European phones that do exist.

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Part 2 of 5

Why is it a problem?

Seven layers of dependency, from the phone in your hand to the question underneath everything else: Who decides how Europeans live?

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Part 3 of 5

What does independence look like?

Where the phone touches money or identity, Europe already wins. Payment, digital identity, and whether that independence can be extended to the platform itself.

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Part 4 of 5

Replacing the phones, and five futures

The replacement arithmetic, why the dependencies survive even with new phones in every pocket, and five scenarios for how this plays out.

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Part 5 of 5

What, and how long, will it take?

Who would have to act and how, the milestones on the road to viability, and why the mundane decisions are the ones that count.

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AppendixFree

Sources

The full source list behind the report, grouped by theme. Free to read, for anyone who wants to check the work.

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